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2024-12-13 12:30:39

The release of loose signals at major conferences is exciting news, but the market has gone high and low. Many investors are nervous and can't help asking: Will this be another replica of the October 8 market? Make your point clear first-there is a high probability that it won't, and listen to my detailed analysis.The market is as new as a chess game. Only those who know the rules and move according to the times can win the game in this capital game.From the perspective of professional organizations, it is far from the white-hot stage of crazy rush to raise funds. External environmental variables still exist, the geopolitical situation continues to rub, many uncertain factors remain unresolved in the international arena, and the global economic structure is undercurrent; The process of policy handover has not yet been settled, and many details remain to be clarified. In such a complicated situation, institutions choose to steadily increase their positions, and step by step is the best policy.


Looking at the moment, when the market opened higher and went lower, some new retail investors rushed to lighten up their positions because of the "injured" memory in the early stage; However, if the market continues to drop, the old leeks may seize the opportunity to make up their positions-after all, they have experienced many rounds of ups and downs and are well versed in the low position layout.Short-and medium-term theme hype needs to play a spirit of twelve points. The high standard of the theme in the past two months is like the hanging "Sword of Damocles", and the risks are becoming more and more obvious, so be careful. First, with the change of market rhythm, there is a high probability that new themes will emerge in the near future, which will attract gold strongly; Second, once the blue-chip sector stabilizes and rebounds, and the upward channel is opened, the powerful siphon effect will instantly divert the funds from the theme sector. At that time, it will be unpleasant to stand at a high position.Since October, the trend has begun to take shape. Before the key handover is completed, if there is no super-heavyweight good and bad news, the market will probably fall into a pattern of continuous shock and plate rotation. The market maintains a consolidation trend, and the overall profit-making effect is not good. However, the speculation on the theme of monster stocks will stir up from time to time and become a "hot battlefield" for capital profit. In the short term, this situation will probably continue.


When it comes to operational strategies, medium and long-term investors may wish to hold ETFs or weights and blue-chip stocks with peace of mind. At present, medium and long-term large funds have been quietly laid out, and a series of positive factors, such as monetary easing, saving and moving, and debt resolution, have just begun to exert their strength. It may be necessary to give birth to a "mad cow" market with heavy benefits and strong incentives, but the basic conditions are already in place to create a steady upward but reassuring "slow cow".Looking at the moment, when the market opened higher and went lower, some new retail investors rushed to lighten up their positions because of the "injured" memory in the early stage; However, if the market continues to drop, the old leeks may seize the opportunity to make up their positions-after all, they have experienced many rounds of ups and downs and are well versed in the low position layout.Since October, the trend has begun to take shape. Before the key handover is completed, if there is no super-heavyweight good and bad news, the market will probably fall into a pattern of continuous shock and plate rotation. The market maintains a consolidation trend, and the overall profit-making effect is not good. However, the speculation on the theme of monster stocks will stir up from time to time and become a "hot battlefield" for capital profit. In the short term, this situation will probably continue.

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